Tuesday, February 2, 2016

Resilience is Going to Happen One Way or Another



In the West more conversation is surfacing around "resilience" and the notion that large, landscape-level resilience is only going to occur as a result of unplanned ignitions and appropriate risk management.  

The January edition of the Fire Science Digest comments further on this idea through "futures research" which just may be a great supplement to the Quadrennial Fire Review and help guide our discussions about risk.  

The futurists suggest that one way or another, we will achieve resilience.  Either at very high costs, or through some systematic approach that fosters resilience, or some combination of both.

From the digest:

Here’s the thinking: In the collapse scenario, resilience is reset by nature and “the war on fire would end by force of necessity. With government unable to shoulder much of the fire-protection burden, communities would be forced to assume the primary role themselves through comanagement of risk by citizens and adjacent landowners” (Olson and Bengston 2015). Further, those communities that “fail to accept this role would burn if fire passes through them,” while proactive communities that adopt resilience strategies (e.g., created their own fire-safe communities) would more likely survive any fires, and the massive buildup of fuel would eventually decline (Olson and Bengston 2015).
Please take a moment to read the digest.  We'll be talking more about this on our call in February.   

Find the full digest here








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